Current forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Munich on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime highs near 32–35 °C through strong solar heating and light southerly flow. This exceeds the long-term average high of about 25 °C for the date. The tight spread between the 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes reflects minor ensemble differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds that can shift peak readings by 1 °C. Recent model runs show limited precipitation risk and no major frontal passages, keeping the market focused on these narrow thermal thresholds rather than broader pattern shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日慕尼黑气温最高?
35°C 38%
34°C 34%
36°C 12%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
34%
35°C
38%
36°C
12%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 34%
36°C 12%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
34%
35°C
38%
36°C
12%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Munich on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime highs near 32–35 °C through strong solar heating and light southerly flow. This exceeds the long-term average high of about 25 °C for the date. The tight spread between the 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes reflects minor ensemble differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds that can shift peak readings by 1 °C. Recent model runs show limited precipitation risk and no major frontal passages, keeping the market focused on these narrow thermal thresholds rather than broader pattern shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题