Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日伦敦最低气温？
8月15日伦敦最低气温？
20°C 100.0%
14°C或更低 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,744 交易量
$22,744 交易量
2026-08-15
14°C或更低
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22℃
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
14°C或更低 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,744 交易量
$22,744 交易量
2026-08-15
14°C或更低
$1,032 交易量
否
15°C
$572 交易量
否
16°C
$469 交易量
否
17°C
$841 交易量
否
18°C
$1,931 交易量
否
19°C
$6,175 交易量
否
20°C
$7,709 交易量
是
21°C
$2,499 交易量
否
22℃
$915 交易量
否
23°C
$335 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$265 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$22,744结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,744结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题