Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on 18 August 2026 most likely between 17–19 °C, with 18 °C as the central tendency under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central London moderate radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops, while daytime highs near 26–27 °C limit the diurnal range. Model consensus has remained steady over the past 48 hours, producing closely matched trader probabilities for the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact measurement timing determine the final low. Lower extremes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日伦敦最低气温？
8月18日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 47%
19°C 42%
20°C 8%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
14°C或更低
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
47%
19°C
42%
20°C
8%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
18°C 47%
19°C 42%
20°C 8%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
14°C或更低
$143 交易量
<1%
15°C
$336 交易量
<1%
16°C
$580 交易量
3%
17°C
$1,373 交易量
6%
18°C
$1,566 交易量
47%
19°C
$1,317 交易量
42%
20°C
$478 交易量
8%
21°C
$234 交易量
<1%
22°C
$222 交易量
<1%
23°C
$192 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$182 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on 18 August 2026 most likely between 17–19 °C, with 18 °C as the central tendency under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central London moderate radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops, while daytime highs near 26–27 °C limit the diurnal range. Model consensus has remained steady over the past 48 hours, producing closely matched trader probabilities for the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact measurement timing determine the final low. Lower extremes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$6,623结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on 18 August 2026 most likely between 17–19 °C, with 18 °C as the central tendency under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central London moderate radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops, while daytime highs near 26–27 °C limit the diurnal range. Model consensus has remained steady over the past 48 hours, producing closely matched trader probabilities for the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact measurement timing determine the final low. Lower extremes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,623结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on 18 August 2026 most likely between 17–19 °C, with 18 °C as the central tendency under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central London moderate radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops, while daytime highs near 26–27 °C limit the diurnal range. Model consensus has remained steady over the past 48 hours, producing closely matched trader probabilities for the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact measurement timing determine the final low. Lower extremes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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