Current numerical weather model consensus from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicates a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 19, shaped by lingering subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer monsoon humidity that favors scattered thundery showers capable of capping peaks via cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with August climatology of 31–35°C averages and occasional 38°C+ extremes, though model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts and any overnight shifts in convective activity will be key inputs for traders monitoring the implied probability distribution ahead of official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日武汉气温最高?
35°C 29%
36°C 22%
34°C 21%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
11%
34°C
21%
35°C
29%
36°C
22%
37°C
4%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 29%
36°C 22%
34°C 21%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
11%
34°C
21%
35°C
29%
36°C
22%
37°C
4%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather model consensus from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicates a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 19, shaped by lingering subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer monsoon humidity that favors scattered thundery showers capable of capping peaks via cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with August climatology of 31–35°C averages and occasional 38°C+ extremes, though model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts and any overnight shifts in convective activity will be key inputs for traders monitoring the implied probability distribution ahead of official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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