Marine layer clouds and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles temperatures in check today, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to a high near 77°F at coastal and airport locations. This setup, typical for mid-August but reinforced by current model consensus, favors the 76-77°F bin that holds the strongest market-implied odds. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-normal readings amid gradual clearing, limiting afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Traders are pricing limited upside risk from inland heating or model shifts, as any delay in cloud dissipation could cap the peak even lower. Updated NWS guidance through the afternoon will provide the final observational data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日洛杉矶气温最高?
76-77°F 68%
78-79华氏度 19%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 3%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
68%
78-79华氏度
19%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 68%
78-79华氏度 19%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 3%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
68%
78-79华氏度
19%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marine layer clouds and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles temperatures in check today, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to a high near 77°F at coastal and airport locations. This setup, typical for mid-August but reinforced by current model consensus, favors the 76-77°F bin that holds the strongest market-implied odds. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-normal readings amid gradual clearing, limiting afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Traders are pricing limited upside risk from inland heating or model shifts, as any delay in cloud dissipation could cap the peak even lower. Updated NWS guidance through the afternoon will provide the final observational data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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