Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日西雅图气温最高？
8月15日西雅图气温最高？
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
73°F or below
$0 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$232 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$248 交易量
16%
78-79°F
$72 交易量
35%
80-81°F
$287 交易量
23%
82-83°F
$56 交易量
9%
84-85°F
$186 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$75 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$26 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$165 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,676结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,676结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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