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icon for Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?

Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?

icon for Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?

Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?

4% 概率
Polymarket
最新

4% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s birthright U.S. citizenship, confirmed across credible reporting as a New York native with Haitian and Filipino parents, underpins the 96% market-implied odds against deportation in 2026. Legal experts consistently note that removing a citizen requires narrow denaturalization proceedings for fraud, a process inapplicable here and historically rare. Vocal online campaigns, including calls from Elon Musk and Alex Jones over the streamer’s 2026 remarks on migration and Islam, generated headlines but produced no enforcement action or legislative shift. Australia’s May lifetime visa ban illustrates international scrutiny of his content yet has no bearing on U.S. residency. With only months remaining in the year and no credible pathway to removal, traders view any upset as negligible absent an unprecedented constitutional change.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
交易量
$840
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s birthright U.S. citizenship, confirmed across credible reporting as a New York native with Haitian and Filipino parents, underpins the 96% market-implied odds against deportation in 2026. Legal experts consistently note that removing a citizen requires narrow denaturalization proceedings for fraud, a process inapplicable here and historically rare. Vocal online campaigns, including calls from Elon Musk and Alex Jones over the streamer’s 2026 remarks on migration and Islam, generated headlines but produced no enforcement action or legislative shift. Australia’s May lifetime visa ban illustrates international scrutiny of his content yet has no bearing on U.S. residency. With only months remaining in the year and no credible pathway to removal, traders view any upset as negligible absent an unprecedented constitutional change.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Sneako 会在 2026 年被驱逐出境吗?",概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 6¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 6%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?"的当前领先者是"Sneako 会在 2026 年被驱逐出境吗?",仅有 6%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"Sneako会在2026年被驱逐出境吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。