Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center position Moscow's August 18 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that moderates daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most guidance clustering afternoon peaks between 21–24°C and low probabilities of exceeding 25°C or dropping below 21°C given stable steering patterns and modest boundary-layer moisture. These conditions align closely with climatological late-August norms of around 20–22°C, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while limiting volatility ahead of final observational resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日莫斯科最高气温？
8月18日莫斯科最高气温？
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 20%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 20%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
18°C or below
$26 交易量
2%
19°C
$81 交易量
4%
20°C
$33 交易量
8%
21°C
$6 交易量
20%
22°C
$6 交易量
34%
23°C
$11 交易量
38%
24°C
$6 交易量
10%
25°C
$107 交易量
3%
26°C
$94 交易量
6%
27°C
$15 交易量
5%
28°C or higher
$10 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center position Moscow's August 18 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that moderates daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most guidance clustering afternoon peaks between 21–24°C and low probabilities of exceeding 25°C or dropping below 21°C given stable steering patterns and modest boundary-layer moisture. These conditions align closely with climatological late-August norms of around 20–22°C, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while limiting volatility ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$397结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center position Moscow's August 18 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that moderates daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most guidance clustering afternoon peaks between 21–24°C and low probabilities of exceeding 25°C or dropping below 21°C given stable steering patterns and modest boundary-layer moisture. These conditions align closely with climatological late-August norms of around 20–22°C, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while limiting volatility ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$397结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center position Moscow's August 18 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that moderates daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most guidance clustering afternoon peaks between 21–24°C and low probabilities of exceeding 25°C or dropping below 21°C given stable steering patterns and modest boundary-layer moisture. These conditions align closely with climatological late-August norms of around 20–22°C, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while limiting volatility ahead of final observational resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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