**Traders are pricing 38°C as the most likely peak for Chongqing on August 16, reflecting current numerical weather prediction guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing daytime maxima of 38–39°C under partly cloudy skies.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with its basin topography and urban heat island effect, routinely produces mid-August highs of 34–38°C; recent model runs have held steady near the upper end of this range amid limited cloud cover and light southeasterly flow. Official forecasts from weather.com.cn list 38–39°C, while international guidance such as the UK Met Office is slightly cooler at 36°C, creating the observed market spread favoring 37–39°C. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, any last-minute changes in convective activity or insolation before the 16th could shift the outcome within the narrow 36–39°C band that now accounts for most probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日重庆气温最高？
8月16日重庆气温最高？
38°C 47%
37°C 24%
39°C 15%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
10%
37°C
24%
38°C
47%
39°C
15%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 47%
37°C 24%
39°C 15%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
33°C or below
$3,250 交易量
1%
34°C
$236 交易量
1%
35°C
$234 交易量
4%
36°C
$567 交易量
10%
37°C
$1,231 交易量
24%
38°C
$2,355 交易量
47%
39°C
$488 交易量
15%
40°C
$356 交易量
4%
41°C
$253 交易量
1%
42°C
$297 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are pricing 38°C as the most likely peak for Chongqing on August 16, reflecting current numerical weather prediction guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing daytime maxima of 38–39°C under partly cloudy skies.**
Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with its basin topography and urban heat island effect, routinely produces mid-August highs of 34–38°C; recent model runs have held steady near the upper end of this range amid limited cloud cover and light southeasterly flow. Official forecasts from weather.com.cn list 38–39°C, while international guidance such as the UK Met Office is slightly cooler at 36°C, creating the observed market spread favoring 37–39°C. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, any last-minute changes in convective activity or insolation before the 16th could shift the outcome within the narrow 36–39°C band that now accounts for most probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$9,466结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are pricing 38°C as the most likely peak for Chongqing on August 16, reflecting current numerical weather prediction guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing daytime maxima of 38–39°C under partly cloudy skies.**
Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with its basin topography and urban heat island effect, routinely produces mid-August highs of 34–38°C; recent model runs have held steady near the upper end of this range amid limited cloud cover and light southeasterly flow. Official forecasts from weather.com.cn list 38–39°C, while international guidance such as the UK Met Office is slightly cooler at 36°C, creating the observed market spread favoring 37–39°C. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, any last-minute changes in convective activity or insolation before the 16th could shift the outcome within the narrow 36–39°C band that now accounts for most probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,466结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Traders are pricing 38°C as the most likely peak for Chongqing on August 16, reflecting current numerical weather prediction guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing daytime maxima of 38–39°C under partly cloudy skies.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with its basin topography and urban heat island effect, routinely produces mid-August highs of 34–38°C; recent model runs have held steady near the upper end of this range amid limited cloud cover and light southeasterly flow. Official forecasts from weather.com.cn list 38–39°C, while international guidance such as the UK Met Office is slightly cooler at 36°C, creating the observed market spread favoring 37–39°C. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, any last-minute changes in convective activity or insolation before the 16th could shift the outcome within the narrow 36–39°C band that now accounts for most probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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