Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日伦敦气温最高？
8月15日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 29%
27°C 24%
25°C 19%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
29%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
27°C 24%
25°C 19%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C or below
$368 交易量
<1%
21°C
$22 交易量
1%
22°C
$30 交易量
1%
23°C
$64 交易量
2%
24°C
$169 交易量
8%
25°C
$140 交易量
19%
26°C
$241 交易量
29%
27°C
$109 交易量
24%
28°C
$255 交易量
10%
29°C
$185 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$296 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,879结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,879结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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