Drier Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by an emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, form the main driver behind trader emphasis on 32°C (51.5%) and 33°C (32.5%) for Singapore’s August 13 maximum. National Environment Agency outlooks project daytime highs of 32–34°C through mid-month due to reduced rainfall and limited cloud cover, consistent with recent station readings of 32–33.4°C. Tropical urban heat island effects and model consensus on partly cloudy skies with isolated convection further support this narrow range. Shorter-range forecasts indicate slightly cooler outcomes near 31°C remain possible if convection increases, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 34°C given typical diurnal variability and forecast uncertainty ahead of official NEA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月13日的最高温度?
32°C 51%
33°C 33%
31°C 11%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
51%
33°C
33%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 33%
31°C 11%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
51%
33°C
33%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Drier Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by an emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, form the main driver behind trader emphasis on 32°C (51.5%) and 33°C (32.5%) for Singapore’s August 13 maximum. National Environment Agency outlooks project daytime highs of 32–34°C through mid-month due to reduced rainfall and limited cloud cover, consistent with recent station readings of 32–33.4°C. Tropical urban heat island effects and model consensus on partly cloudy skies with isolated convection further support this narrow range. Shorter-range forecasts indicate slightly cooler outcomes near 31°C remain possible if convection increases, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 34°C given typical diurnal variability and forecast uncertainty ahead of official NEA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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