El Niño conditions, strengthening through mid-2026 with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, are elevating baseline temperatures across Southeast Asia and favoring above-average warmth and drier conditions in Singapore through October. Equatorial location and consistent insolation produce typical August daily maxima near 31°C, but the current climate pattern and long-term warming trend (0.24°C per decade since 1984) shift the distribution toward 32–33°C peaks. Short-term model consensus and historical analogs show low odds of extremes below 31°C or above 34°C on any given day, aligning with market-implied probabilities that reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and ENSO-driven variability two days before the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
32°C 53%
33°C 37%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
53%
33°C
37%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 37%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
27°C or below
$374 交易量
<1%
28°C
$99 交易量
<1%
29°C
$115 交易量
1%
30°C
$43 交易量
1%
31°C
$62 交易量
8%
32°C
$240 交易量
53%
33°C
$217 交易量
37%
34°C
$337 交易量
6%
35°C
$90 交易量
1%
36°C
$48 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$87 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions, strengthening through mid-2026 with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, are elevating baseline temperatures across Southeast Asia and favoring above-average warmth and drier conditions in Singapore through October. Equatorial location and consistent insolation produce typical August daily maxima near 31°C, but the current climate pattern and long-term warming trend (0.24°C per decade since 1984) shift the distribution toward 32–33°C peaks. Short-term model consensus and historical analogs show low odds of extremes below 31°C or above 34°C on any given day, aligning with market-implied probabilities that reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and ENSO-driven variability two days before the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,714结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions, strengthening through mid-2026 with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, are elevating baseline temperatures across Southeast Asia and favoring above-average warmth and drier conditions in Singapore through October. Equatorial location and consistent insolation produce typical August daily maxima near 31°C, but the current climate pattern and long-term warming trend (0.24°C per decade since 1984) shift the distribution toward 32–33°C peaks. Short-term model consensus and historical analogs show low odds of extremes below 31°C or above 34°C on any given day, aligning with market-implied probabilities that reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and ENSO-driven variability two days before the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,714结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETEl Niño conditions, strengthening through mid-2026 with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, are elevating baseline temperatures across Southeast Asia and favoring above-average warmth and drier conditions in Singapore through October. Equatorial location and consistent insolation produce typical August daily maxima near 31°C, but the current climate pattern and long-term warming trend (0.24°C per decade since 1984) shift the distribution toward 32–33°C peaks. Short-term model consensus and historical analogs show low odds of extremes below 31°C or above 34°C on any given day, aligning with market-implied probabilities that reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and ENSO-driven variability two days before the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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