Current short-range forecasts from agencies including MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on 10 August, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies with limited cloud cover and no strong frontal systems. This aligns with August climatology, where mean highs average 12–14 °C under the influence of the westerly wind belt and Cook Strait channelling. Recent cooler days (such as the 9 °C peak on 5 August) have kept probabilities anchored near seasonal norms rather than extremes, while ensemble spread remains narrow two days out, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 13–14 °C outcomes. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine any late adjustments to wind or marine-layer effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月10日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 50%
13°C 35%
15°C 14%
12°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
35%
14°C
50%
15°C
14%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 50%
13°C 35%
15°C 14%
12°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
7°C or below
$362 交易量
<1%
8°C
$209 交易量
1%
9°C
$435 交易量
<1%
10°C
$45 交易量
1%
11°C
$44 交易量
2%
12°C
$164 交易量
5%
13°C
$465 交易量
35%
14°C
$355 交易量
50%
15°C
$564 交易量
14%
16°C
$36 交易量
1%
17°C or higher
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on 10 August, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies with limited cloud cover and no strong frontal systems. This aligns with August climatology, where mean highs average 12–14 °C under the influence of the westerly wind belt and Cook Strait channelling. Recent cooler days (such as the 9 °C peak on 5 August) have kept probabilities anchored near seasonal norms rather than extremes, while ensemble spread remains narrow two days out, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 13–14 °C outcomes. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine any late adjustments to wind or marine-layer effects.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,652结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on 10 August, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies with limited cloud cover and no strong frontal systems. This aligns with August climatology, where mean highs average 12–14 °C under the influence of the westerly wind belt and Cook Strait channelling. Recent cooler days (such as the 9 °C peak on 5 August) have kept probabilities anchored near seasonal norms rather than extremes, while ensemble spread remains narrow two days out, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 13–14 °C outcomes. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine any late adjustments to wind or marine-layer effects.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,652结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from agencies including MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on 10 August, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies with limited cloud cover and no strong frontal systems. This aligns with August climatology, where mean highs average 12–14 °C under the influence of the westerly wind belt and Cook Strait channelling. Recent cooler days (such as the 9 °C peak on 5 August) have kept probabilities anchored near seasonal norms rather than extremes, while ensemble spread remains narrow two days out, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 13–14 °C outcomes. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine any late adjustments to wind or marine-layer effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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