Current forecast guidance from AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office points to maximum temperatures of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 10 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, following a recent peak near 37–38°C. Trader emphasis on 37°C as the leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability reflects model consensus around typical late-summer highs for the region, supported by persistent high pressure and dry conditions after earlier 2026 heatwaves, while 36°C (25.5%) and 38°C (18.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in exact daytime peaks. Official measurements will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at the reference station, with minimal precipitation risk keeping values from dropping sharply.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日马德里气温最高？
8月10日马德里气温最高？
37°C 55%
36°C 26%
38°C 18%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
26%
37°C
55%
38°C
18%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C或更高
<1%
37°C 55%
36°C 26%
38°C 18%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C或以下
$134 交易量
<1%
32°C
$78 交易量
<1%
33°C
$99 交易量
1%
34°C
$79 交易量
1%
35°C
$301 交易量
4%
36°C
$2,687 交易量
26%
37°C
$2,810 交易量
55%
38°C
$1,122 交易量
18%
39°C
$510 交易量
2%
40°C
$377 交易量
1%
41°C或更高
$100 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office points to maximum temperatures of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 10 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, following a recent peak near 37–38°C. Trader emphasis on 37°C as the leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability reflects model consensus around typical late-summer highs for the region, supported by persistent high pressure and dry conditions after earlier 2026 heatwaves, while 36°C (25.5%) and 38°C (18.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in exact daytime peaks. Official measurements will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at the reference station, with minimal precipitation risk keeping values from dropping sharply.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,297结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office points to maximum temperatures of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 10 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, following a recent peak near 37–38°C. Trader emphasis on 37°C as the leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability reflects model consensus around typical late-summer highs for the region, supported by persistent high pressure and dry conditions after earlier 2026 heatwaves, while 36°C (25.5%) and 38°C (18.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in exact daytime peaks. Official measurements will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at the reference station, with minimal precipitation risk keeping values from dropping sharply.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,297结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office points to maximum temperatures of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 10 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, following a recent peak near 37–38°C. Trader emphasis on 37°C as the leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability reflects model consensus around typical late-summer highs for the region, supported by persistent high pressure and dry conditions after earlier 2026 heatwaves, while 36°C (25.5%) and 38°C (18.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in exact daytime peaks. Official measurements will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at the reference station, with minimal precipitation risk keeping values from dropping sharply.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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