**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 93–95°F for Houston on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward the 92–95°F range (79% combined implied probability).** Houston’s humid subtropical climate typically produces August highs averaging 94°F at Hobby Airport, driven by a dominant subtropical ridge, southerly Gulf flow, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling and support daytime heat buildup. Recent model runs show a stable pattern with light winds and only isolated afternoon convection, which may cap extreme spikes while keeping temperatures near or slightly above normal. No tropical systems or major pattern shifts are indicated, and heat indices are expected to reach 105°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble consensus continue to point to this mid-90s outcome as the most likely, consistent with trader positioning on the 92–95°F bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月8日休斯顿的最高温度？
92-93°F 45%
94-95°F 34%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
2%
102°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 45%
94-95°F 34%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
83°F或以下
$38 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$27 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$12 交易量
3%
88-89°F
$150 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$199 交易量
16%
92-93°F
$230 交易量
45%
94-95°F
$227 交易量
34%
96-97°F
$147 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$19 交易量
3%
100-101°F
$12 交易量
2%
102°F或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 93–95°F for Houston on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward the 92–95°F range (79% combined implied probability).**
Houston’s humid subtropical climate typically produces August highs averaging 94°F at Hobby Airport, driven by a dominant subtropical ridge, southerly Gulf flow, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling and support daytime heat buildup. Recent model runs show a stable pattern with light winds and only isolated afternoon convection, which may cap extreme spikes while keeping temperatures near or slightly above normal. No tropical systems or major pattern shifts are indicated, and heat indices are expected to reach 105°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble consensus continue to point to this mid-90s outcome as the most likely, consistent with trader positioning on the 92–95°F bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,087结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 93–95°F for Houston on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward the 92–95°F range (79% combined implied probability).**
Houston’s humid subtropical climate typically produces August highs averaging 94°F at Hobby Airport, driven by a dominant subtropical ridge, southerly Gulf flow, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling and support daytime heat buildup. Recent model runs show a stable pattern with light winds and only isolated afternoon convection, which may cap extreme spikes while keeping temperatures near or slightly above normal. No tropical systems or major pattern shifts are indicated, and heat indices are expected to reach 105°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble consensus continue to point to this mid-90s outcome as the most likely, consistent with trader positioning on the 92–95°F bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,087结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 93–95°F for Houston on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward the 92–95°F range (79% combined implied probability).** Houston’s humid subtropical climate typically produces August highs averaging 94°F at Hobby Airport, driven by a dominant subtropical ridge, southerly Gulf flow, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling and support daytime heat buildup. Recent model runs show a stable pattern with light winds and only isolated afternoon convection, which may cap extreme spikes while keeping temperatures near or slightly above normal. No tropical systems or major pattern shifts are indicated, and heat indices are expected to reach 105°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble consensus continue to point to this mid-90s outcome as the most likely, consistent with trader positioning on the 92–95°F bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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