National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 8 center on a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for 98-99°F. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer subtropical ridging support temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the 28.5% on 96-97°F and 13.5% on 100-101°F bins; model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in dew points or cloud cover could alter outcomes. Historical August averages near 96-98°F provide climatological context, and traders weigh the short time remaining before official daily maximum readings finalize the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月8日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99华氏度 45%
96-97华氏度 29%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
8%
96-97华氏度
29%
98-99华氏度
45%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
4%
106°F或更高
<1%
98-99华氏度 45%
96-97华氏度 29%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
87°F或以下
$171 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$132 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$12 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$22 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$5 交易量
8%
96-97华氏度
$187 交易量
29%
98-99华氏度
$122 交易量
45%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
14%
102-103°F
$94 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$34 交易量
4%
106°F或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 8 center on a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for 98-99°F. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer subtropical ridging support temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the 28.5% on 96-97°F and 13.5% on 100-101°F bins; model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in dew points or cloud cover could alter outcomes. Historical August averages near 96-98°F provide climatological context, and traders weigh the short time remaining before official daily maximum readings finalize the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$819结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 8 center on a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for 98-99°F. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer subtropical ridging support temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the 28.5% on 96-97°F and 13.5% on 100-101°F bins; model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in dew points or cloud cover could alter outcomes. Historical August averages near 96-98°F provide climatological context, and traders weigh the short time remaining before official daily maximum readings finalize the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$819结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNational Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 8 center on a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for 98-99°F. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer subtropical ridging support temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the 28.5% on 96-97°F and 13.5% on 100-101°F bins; model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in dew points or cloud cover could alter outcomes. Historical August averages near 96-98°F provide climatological context, and traders weigh the short time remaining before official daily maximum readings finalize the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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