Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月6日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99华氏度 52%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 11%
102-103华氏度 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
11%
98-99华氏度
52%
100-101°F
34%
102-103华氏度
7%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99华氏度 52%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 11%
102-103华氏度 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
89°F或以下
$80 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$173 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$521 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$117 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$498 交易量
11%
98-99华氏度
$1,135 交易量
52%
100-101°F
$207 交易量
34%
102-103华氏度
$177 交易量
7%
104-105°F
$239 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$641 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,923结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,923结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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