Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a high near 100°F for Austin on August 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation chances. This aligns with the ongoing heat dome and typical early-August climatology, where average highs reach 97–98°F amid strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover. Recent days hitting 100–102°F support elevated odds for the 98–101°F bins that dominate market-implied probabilities, while model consensus and slight cooling signals in extended guidance keep extremes below 10% likelihood. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日奥斯汀的最高温度?
98-99华氏度 46%
96-97°F 27%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 5%
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
27%
98-99华氏度
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
1%
98-99华氏度 46%
96-97°F 27%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 5%
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
27%
98-99华氏度
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a high near 100°F for Austin on August 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation chances. This aligns with the ongoing heat dome and typical early-August climatology, where average highs reach 97–98°F amid strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover. Recent days hitting 100–102°F support elevated odds for the 98–101°F bins that dominate market-implied probabilities, while model consensus and slight cooling signals in extended guidance keep extremes below 10% likelihood. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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