Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日洛杉矶气温最高?
78-79华氏度 43%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 10%
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
33%
78-79华氏度
43%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90华氏度或更高
<1%
78-79华氏度 43%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 10%
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
33%
78-79华氏度
43%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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