Recent NCM guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 4, driven by typical Red Sea moisture and light northwesterly flow that limits extreme heat buildup. Seasonal outlooks showing 1–2 °C above the 1991–2020 August baseline add modest upward pressure, keeping the 38–40 °C range in play if subsidence strengthens or cloud cover decreases. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity often cap peaks below interior values, creating the tight clustering around 37–39 °C. Updated model runs and NCM’s next 3–5 day bulletin are the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日吉达的最高温度?
40°C或更高 36%
38°C 27%
39°C 20%
37°C 19%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
19%
38°C
27%
39°C
20%
40°C或更高
36%
40°C或更高 36%
38°C 27%
39°C 20%
37°C 19%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
19%
38°C
27%
39°C
20%
40°C或更高
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent NCM guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 4, driven by typical Red Sea moisture and light northwesterly flow that limits extreme heat buildup. Seasonal outlooks showing 1–2 °C above the 1991–2020 August baseline add modest upward pressure, keeping the 38–40 °C range in play if subsidence strengthens or cloud cover decreases. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity often cap peaks below interior values, creating the tight clustering around 37–39 °C. Updated model runs and NCM’s next 3–5 day bulletin are the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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