Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日上海气温最高？
8月4日上海气温最高？
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
33%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C or below
$41 交易量
<1%
30°C
$104 交易量
2%
31°C
$69 交易量
2%
32°C
$203 交易量
4%
33°C
$209 交易量
18%
34°C
$148 交易量
38%
35°C
$442 交易量
33%
36°C
$97 交易量
10%
37°C
$58 交易量
2%
38°C
$125 交易量
4%
39°C或更高
$61 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,558结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,558结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题