Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight low for London on August 4 under building high pressure and humid conditions that favor clear skies yet limited radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show modest spread around this value, with warmer minima near 20–21°C possible if cloud or light winds persist through the night, consistent with the summer’s record-mild nighttime temperatures averaging 1.5°C above the long-term baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 19–21°C, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term forecast uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official London stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日伦敦最低气温？
8月4日伦敦最低气温？
20°C 43%
19°C 24%
21°C 19%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
24%
20°C
43%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 43%
19°C 24%
21°C 19%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
15°C or below
$241 交易量
<1%
16°C
$42 交易量
1%
17°C
$21 交易量
1%
18°C
$6 交易量
4%
19°C
$12 交易量
24%
20°C
$52 交易量
43%
21°C
$6 交易量
19%
22°C
$27 交易量
4%
23°C
$51 交易量
<1%
24°C
$287 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$277 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight low for London on August 4 under building high pressure and humid conditions that favor clear skies yet limited radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show modest spread around this value, with warmer minima near 20–21°C possible if cloud or light winds persist through the night, consistent with the summer’s record-mild nighttime temperatures averaging 1.5°C above the long-term baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 19–21°C, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term forecast uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,022结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight low for London on August 4 under building high pressure and humid conditions that favor clear skies yet limited radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show modest spread around this value, with warmer minima near 20–21°C possible if cloud or light winds persist through the night, consistent with the summer’s record-mild nighttime temperatures averaging 1.5°C above the long-term baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 19–21°C, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term forecast uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,022结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight low for London on August 4 under building high pressure and humid conditions that favor clear skies yet limited radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show modest spread around this value, with warmer minima near 20–21°C possible if cloud or light winds persist through the night, consistent with the summer’s record-mild nighttime temperatures averaging 1.5°C above the long-term baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 19–21°C, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term forecast uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official London stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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