**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日伦敦气温最高？
8月3日伦敦气温最高？
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
20%
30°C
35%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
25°C or below
$60 交易量
<1%
26°C
$276 交易量
1%
27°C
$433 交易量
<1%
28°C
$219 交易量
4%
29°C
$152 交易量
20%
30°C
$556 交易量
35%
31°C
$246 交易量
33%
32°C
$10 交易量
14%
33°C
$1,166 交易量
2%
34°C
$32 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities.
Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,165结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities.
Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,165结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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