Drier conditions expected across Singapore during the first fortnight of August 2026 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow are the main driver positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 4 daily maximum. The National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projects highs of 33–34°C on most days in this period, reflecting reduced cloud cover and rainfall that allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared with the long-term August average near 31°C. Near-term model guidance shows daytime peaks around 32–33°C for August 4, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the combined 88% implied probability for those two thresholds, while lower or higher extremes remain limited by typical equatorial humidity and localized afternoon convection. Updated NEA or Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月4日的最高温度?
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Drier conditions expected across Singapore during the first fortnight of August 2026 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow are the main driver positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 4 daily maximum. The National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projects highs of 33–34°C on most days in this period, reflecting reduced cloud cover and rainfall that allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared with the long-term August average near 31°C. Near-term model guidance shows daytime peaks around 32–33°C for August 4, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the combined 88% implied probability for those two thresholds, while lower or higher extremes remain limited by typical equatorial humidity and localized afternoon convection. Updated NEA or Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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