Recent official forecasts from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Milan on August 6, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon mixing. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley supports highs in this range during similar synoptic patterns, though any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly flow could cap readings at 35°C or allow brief spikes to 38°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with resolution depending on the official Milan station maximum reported by Italian meteorological authorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日米兰的最高温度？
8月6日米兰的最高温度？
36°C 45%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
34°C or below
3%
35°C
9%
36°C
45%
37°C
38%
38°C
9%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C或更高
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
34°C or below
$160 交易量
3%
35°C
$453 交易量
9%
36°C
$451 交易量
45%
37°C
$346 交易量
38%
38°C
$298 交易量
9%
39°C
$20 交易量
2%
40°C
$31 交易量
2%
41°C
$88 交易量
<1%
42°C
$112 交易量
<1%
43°C
$401 交易量
<1%
44°C或更高
$386 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Milan on August 6, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon mixing. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley supports highs in this range during similar synoptic patterns, though any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly flow could cap readings at 35°C or allow brief spikes to 38°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with resolution depending on the official Milan station maximum reported by Italian meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,746结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Milan on August 6, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon mixing. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley supports highs in this range during similar synoptic patterns, though any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly flow could cap readings at 35°C or allow brief spikes to 38°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with resolution depending on the official Milan station maximum reported by Italian meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,746结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent official forecasts from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Milan on August 6, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon mixing. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley supports highs in this range during similar synoptic patterns, though any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly flow could cap readings at 35°C or allow brief spikes to 38°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with resolution depending on the official Milan station maximum reported by Italian meteorological authorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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