Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a high of 33°C in Madrid on August 4 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and stable summer high pressure. This aligns with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate, where early August daily maxima typically average 32–33°C amid clear skies and low humidity. Recent model consensus favors 33–34°C as the most probable range, though slight variations in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 34°C and 31.5% on 33°C. Broader August outlooks show occasional spikes above 35°C during heat episodes, but no major warm anomaly is projected for this date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日马德里气温最高？
8月4日马德里气温最高？
34°C 52%
33°C 33%
35°C 13%
32°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
33%
34°C
52%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 52%
33°C 33%
35°C 13%
32°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C或以下
$176 交易量
<1%
30°C
$75 交易量
1%
31°C
$24 交易量
3%
32°C
$167 交易量
4%
33°C
$974 交易量
33%
34°C
$454 交易量
52%
35°C
$375 交易量
13%
36°C
$248 交易量
3%
37°C
$142 交易量
2%
38°C
$93 交易量
1%
39°C或更高
$387 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a high of 33°C in Madrid on August 4 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and stable summer high pressure. This aligns with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate, where early August daily maxima typically average 32–33°C amid clear skies and low humidity. Recent model consensus favors 33–34°C as the most probable range, though slight variations in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 34°C and 31.5% on 33°C. Broader August outlooks show occasional spikes above 35°C during heat episodes, but no major warm anomaly is projected for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,117结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a high of 33°C in Madrid on August 4 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and stable summer high pressure. This aligns with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate, where early August daily maxima typically average 32–33°C amid clear skies and low humidity. Recent model consensus favors 33–34°C as the most probable range, though slight variations in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 34°C and 31.5% on 33°C. Broader August outlooks show occasional spikes above 35°C during heat episodes, but no major warm anomaly is projected for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,117结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent short-term forecasts from agencies like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a high of 33°C in Madrid on August 4 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and stable summer high pressure. This aligns with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate, where early August daily maxima typically average 32–33°C amid clear skies and low humidity. Recent model consensus favors 33–34°C as the most probable range, though slight variations in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 34°C and 31.5% on 33°C. Broader August outlooks show occasional spikes above 35°C during heat episodes, but no major warm anomaly is projected for this date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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