Current forecast models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will likely peak near 29–30°C amid typical summer high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating, with trader odds split closely between these outcomes due to model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Subtle differences in predicted afternoon cloud cover, wind advection from cooler northern air, and urban heat island effects could determine whether the official reading crosses the 30°C threshold. Historical August averages around 23–24°C provide context, though recent days have trended warmer; updated numerical weather prediction runs and Russian meteorological service briefings will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日莫斯科最高气温?
30°C 38%
29°C 37%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
37%
30°C
38%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 37%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
37%
30°C
38%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will likely peak near 29–30°C amid typical summer high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating, with trader odds split closely between these outcomes due to model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Subtle differences in predicted afternoon cloud cover, wind advection from cooler northern air, and urban heat island effects could determine whether the official reading crosses the 30°C threshold. Historical August averages around 23–24°C provide context, though recent days have trended warmer; updated numerical weather prediction runs and Russian meteorological service briefings will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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