Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Shanghai’s August 6 maximum temperature most likely reaching 33–34°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that maintains warm, humid monsoon air with light winds and limited daytime mixing. This setup aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where daily highs average near 32°C yet can shift several degrees with cloud cover or isolated showers. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 42.5%–33.5% spread between the two leading outcomes captures the remaining uncertainty in model guidance and potential timing of any convective cooling ahead of resolution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global systems over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are watching.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日上海气温最高？
8月6日上海气温最高？
33°C 43%
34°C 34%
32°C 14%
35°C 5%
最新
$10,142 交易量
最新
$10,142 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
43%
34°C
34%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 34%
32°C 14%
35°C 5%
最新
$10,142 交易量
最新
$10,142 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
28°C
$339 交易量
<1%
29°C
$491 交易量
<1%
30°C
$715 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,149 交易量
5%
32°C
$2,124 交易量
14%
33°C
$862 交易量
43%
34°C
$1,894 交易量
34%
35°C
$1,265 交易量
5%
36°C
$691 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$359 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Shanghai’s August 6 maximum temperature most likely reaching 33–34°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that maintains warm, humid monsoon air with light winds and limited daytime mixing. This setup aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where daily highs average near 32°C yet can shift several degrees with cloud cover or isolated showers. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 42.5%–33.5% spread between the two leading outcomes captures the remaining uncertainty in model guidance and potential timing of any convective cooling ahead of resolution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global systems over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are watching.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,142结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Shanghai’s August 6 maximum temperature most likely reaching 33–34°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that maintains warm, humid monsoon air with light winds and limited daytime mixing. This setup aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where daily highs average near 32°C yet can shift several degrees with cloud cover or isolated showers. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 42.5%–33.5% spread between the two leading outcomes captures the remaining uncertainty in model guidance and potential timing of any convective cooling ahead of resolution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global systems over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are watching.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,142结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Shanghai’s August 6 maximum temperature most likely reaching 33–34°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that maintains warm, humid monsoon air with light winds and limited daytime mixing. This setup aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where daily highs average near 32°C yet can shift several degrees with cloud cover or isolated showers. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 42.5%–33.5% spread between the two leading outcomes captures the remaining uncertainty in model guidance and potential timing of any convective cooling ahead of resolution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global systems over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are watching.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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