Official observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, including those operated by Poland’s IMGW, have recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 6, anchoring near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface data and model verification align with this peak amid typical August conditions, where daytime highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s under clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official measurements once the observation window closes, though minor revisions to station data or alternative resolution criteria could theoretically shift settlement in edge cases. Updated synoptic reports from European models like ECMWF will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月6日最高气温?
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,521 交易量
$53,521 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,521 交易量
$53,521 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, including those operated by Poland’s IMGW, have recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 6, anchoring near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface data and model verification align with this peak amid typical August conditions, where daytime highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s under clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official measurements once the observation window closes, though minor revisions to station data or alternative resolution criteria could theoretically shift settlement in edge cases. Updated synoptic reports from European models like ECMWF will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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