Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Warsaw on August 7 likely reaching 25–26°C, driven by moderating westerly flow following recent Central European warmth and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage. With market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading bins, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which will determine the official maximum. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月7日最高气温？
华沙8月7日最高气温？
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
27°C 16%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
37%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
27°C 16%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C or below
$15 交易量
3%
23°C
$23 交易量
4%
24°C
$87 交易量
13%
25°C
$21 交易量
34%
26°C
$75 交易量
37%
27°C
$128 交易量
16%
28°C
$12 交易量
4%
29°C
$30 交易量
2%
30°C
$22 交易量
1%
31°C
$65 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$369 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Warsaw on August 7 likely reaching 25–26°C, driven by moderating westerly flow following recent Central European warmth and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage. With market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading bins, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which will determine the official maximum. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$847结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Warsaw on August 7 likely reaching 25–26°C, driven by moderating westerly flow following recent Central European warmth and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage. With market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading bins, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which will determine the official maximum. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$847结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Warsaw on August 7 likely reaching 25–26°C, driven by moderating westerly flow following recent Central European warmth and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage. With market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading bins, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which will determine the official maximum. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题