**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月6日的最高温度？
纽约市8月6日的最高温度？
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 32%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 32%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
79°F or below
$211 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$532 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$123 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$121 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$137 交易量
19%
88-89°F
$302 交易量
39%
90-91°F
$576 交易量
32%
92-93°F
$267 交易量
6%
94-95°F
$429 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$304 交易量
<1%
98°F or higher
$270 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$3,271结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,271结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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