Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a brief cooldown in Île-de-France, with clearer skies and northerly flow favoring overnight radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum near 12 °C on August 7. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability at that threshold, as current short-range forecasts show lows of 11–14 °C amid the transition from earlier warmth. Historical August climatology for Paris centers on 14–15 °C minima, so the projected dip reflects both the specific synoptic pattern and uncertainty ranges across global models that could still shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Traders are closely watching the next official bulletin and updated high-resolution runs for any revision in boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日巴黎最低气温？
8月7日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 51%
13°C 19%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
9°C或以下
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
14%
12°C
50%
13°C
19%
14°C
10%
15°C
8%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
1%
12°C 51%
13°C 19%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
9°C或以下
$15 交易量
5%
10°C
$37 交易量
8%
11°C
$1 交易量
14%
12°C
$213 交易量
50%
13°C
$0 交易量
19%
14°C
$0 交易量
10%
15°C
$0 交易量
8%
16°C
$227 交易量
<1%
17°C
$120 交易量
1%
18°C
$120 交易量
1%
19°C或更高
$121 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a brief cooldown in Île-de-France, with clearer skies and northerly flow favoring overnight radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum near 12 °C on August 7. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability at that threshold, as current short-range forecasts show lows of 11–14 °C amid the transition from earlier warmth. Historical August climatology for Paris centers on 14–15 °C minima, so the projected dip reflects both the specific synoptic pattern and uncertainty ranges across global models that could still shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Traders are closely watching the next official bulletin and updated high-resolution runs for any revision in boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$854结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a brief cooldown in Île-de-France, with clearer skies and northerly flow favoring overnight radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum near 12 °C on August 7. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability at that threshold, as current short-range forecasts show lows of 11–14 °C amid the transition from earlier warmth. Historical August climatology for Paris centers on 14–15 °C minima, so the projected dip reflects both the specific synoptic pattern and uncertainty ranges across global models that could still shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Traders are closely watching the next official bulletin and updated high-resolution runs for any revision in boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$854结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a brief cooldown in Île-de-France, with clearer skies and northerly flow favoring overnight radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum near 12 °C on August 7. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability at that threshold, as current short-range forecasts show lows of 11–14 °C amid the transition from earlier warmth. Historical August climatology for Paris centers on 14–15 °C minima, so the projected dip reflects both the specific synoptic pattern and uncertainty ranges across global models that could still shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Traders are closely watching the next official bulletin and updated high-resolution runs for any revision in boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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