Recent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日巴黎最高气温？
8月7日巴黎最高气温？
27°C 47%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
47%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
$374 交易量
1%
24°C
$60 交易量
1%
25°C
$100 交易量
5%
26°C
$44 交易量
19%
27°C
$503 交易量
47%
28°C
$123 交易量
27%
29°C
$85 交易量
5%
30°C
$31 交易量
2%
31°C
$40 交易量
<1%
32°C
$42 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$80 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,482结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,482结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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