Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日巴黎气温最高？
8月6日巴黎气温最高？
25°C 48%
26°C 39%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
48%
26°C
39%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 48%
26°C 39%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
21°C or below
$378 交易量
<1%
22°C
$982 交易量
2%
23°C
$411 交易量
2%
24°C
$745 交易量
7%
25°C
$1,023 交易量
48%
26°C
$960 交易量
39%
27°C
$357 交易量
9%
28°C
$485 交易量
2%
29°C
$539 交易量
1%
30°C
$176 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,329结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,329结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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