Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Timeanddate show Guangzhou under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, with persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers expected on August 5 limiting daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 31–34 °C, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities for 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (38.0 %). Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than August climatology (average highs ~33–35 °C) because of higher humidity and reduced insolation, though brief clearing could still push readings to 36 °C. Updated guidance on August 4–5 will refine the exact peak and any convective timing that determines the official high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日广州气温最高?
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 23%
37°C 9%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
38%
36°C
23%
37°C
9%
38°C或更高
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 23%
37°C 9%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
38%
36°C
23%
37°C
9%
38°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Timeanddate show Guangzhou under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, with persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers expected on August 5 limiting daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 31–34 °C, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities for 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (38.0 %). Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than August climatology (average highs ~33–35 °C) because of higher humidity and reduced insolation, though brief clearing could still push readings to 36 °C. Updated guidance on August 4–5 will refine the exact peak and any convective timing that determines the official high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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