Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance indicate a cloudy pattern with light showers possible over Tokyo on August 5, supporting a daily minimum near 21–23 °C. Persistent summer humidity and the urban heat-island effect typically prevent radiative cooling below the mid-20s, while increased cloud cover and modest onshore flow limit further warming. Historical August lows average 24 °C, but the current forecast departure favors the lower end of that range. With resolution still two days away, traders are weighting the latest ensemble consensus heavily, producing the observed clustering around 22–24 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日东京气温最低?
23°C 47%
24°C 25%
22°C 19%
21°C 9%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
19%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
23°C 47%
24°C 25%
22°C 19%
21°C 9%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
19%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance indicate a cloudy pattern with light showers possible over Tokyo on August 5, supporting a daily minimum near 21–23 °C. Persistent summer humidity and the urban heat-island effect typically prevent radiative cooling below the mid-20s, while increased cloud cover and modest onshore flow limit further warming. Historical August lows average 24 °C, but the current forecast departure favors the lower end of that range. With resolution still two days away, traders are weighting the latest ensemble consensus heavily, producing the observed clustering around 22–24 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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