Recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall over Metro Manila on August 5 from the Southwest Monsoon, enhanced by Tropical Cyclone Luis, which is limiting daytime solar heating and capping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. In Manila’s tropical wet-season regime, sustained convection and high humidity reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily highs below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because small differences in rainfall timing or intensity on the day can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, while drier breaks remain possible but less likely given current steering patterns and moisture convergence. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next advisory will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月5日马尼拉的最高温度？
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
27°C 24%
30°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
35%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
11%
32°C或更高
8%
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
27°C 24%
30°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
$40 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$10 交易量
2%
25°C
$59 交易量
12%
26°C
$104 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
24%
28°C
$0 交易量
35%
29°C
$14 交易量
32%
30°C
$0 交易量
19%
31°C
$19 交易量
11%
32°C或更高
$40 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall over Metro Manila on August 5 from the Southwest Monsoon, enhanced by Tropical Cyclone Luis, which is limiting daytime solar heating and capping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. In Manila’s tropical wet-season regime, sustained convection and high humidity reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily highs below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because small differences in rainfall timing or intensity on the day can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, while drier breaks remain possible but less likely given current steering patterns and moisture convergence. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next advisory will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$286结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall over Metro Manila on August 5 from the Southwest Monsoon, enhanced by Tropical Cyclone Luis, which is limiting daytime solar heating and capping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. In Manila’s tropical wet-season regime, sustained convection and high humidity reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily highs below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because small differences in rainfall timing or intensity on the day can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, while drier breaks remain possible but less likely given current steering patterns and moisture convergence. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next advisory will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$286结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETRecent PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall over Metro Manila on August 5 from the Southwest Monsoon, enhanced by Tropical Cyclone Luis, which is limiting daytime solar heating and capping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. In Manila’s tropical wet-season regime, sustained convection and high humidity reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily highs below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because small differences in rainfall timing or intensity on the day can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, while drier breaks remain possible but less likely given current steering patterns and moisture convergence. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next advisory will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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