Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 7 due to Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model guidance projecting an overnight minimum near 25°C under typical summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that restrict radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations in the region have shown similar lows of 22–23°C, with the current pattern reflecting above-normal seasonal warmth and humidity that moderates the diurnal range. The 98.5% implied probability reflects strong consensus from official guidance, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected evening convection, increased moisture, or measurement variability at the primary Tokyo station pushes the recorded minimum into the adjacent 25°C or 27°C outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日东京最低气温？
8月7日东京最低气温？
26°C 99.0%
25°C 1.0%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$11,748 交易量
$11,748 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 99.0%
25°C 1.0%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$11,748 交易量
$11,748 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C或以下
$334 交易量
<1%
23°C
$810 交易量
<1%
24°C
$803 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,152 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,374 交易量
99%
27°C
$4,652 交易量
<1%
28°C
$527 交易量
<1%
29°C
$292 交易量
<1%
30°C
$318 交易量
<1%
31°C
$261 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$226 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 7 due to Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model guidance projecting an overnight minimum near 25°C under typical summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that restrict radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations in the region have shown similar lows of 22–23°C, with the current pattern reflecting above-normal seasonal warmth and humidity that moderates the diurnal range. The 98.5% implied probability reflects strong consensus from official guidance, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected evening convection, increased moisture, or measurement variability at the primary Tokyo station pushes the recorded minimum into the adjacent 25°C or 27°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,748结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 7 due to Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model guidance projecting an overnight minimum near 25°C under typical summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that restrict radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations in the region have shown similar lows of 22–23°C, with the current pattern reflecting above-normal seasonal warmth and humidity that moderates the diurnal range. The 98.5% implied probability reflects strong consensus from official guidance, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected evening convection, increased moisture, or measurement variability at the primary Tokyo station pushes the recorded minimum into the adjacent 25°C or 27°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,748结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders have overwhelmingly positioned on a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 7 due to Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model guidance projecting an overnight minimum near 25°C under typical summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that restrict radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations in the region have shown similar lows of 22–23°C, with the current pattern reflecting above-normal seasonal warmth and humidity that moderates the diurnal range. The 98.5% implied probability reflects strong consensus from official guidance, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected evening convection, increased moisture, or measurement variability at the primary Tokyo station pushes the recorded minimum into the adjacent 25°C or 27°C outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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