Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日巴黎最低气温？
8月9日巴黎最低气温？
17°C 31%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
14°C或更低
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
31%
18°C
26%
19°C
13%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
17°C 31%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
14°C或更低
$0 交易量
5%
15°C
$0 交易量
7%
16°C
$104 交易量
20%
17°C
$0 交易量
31%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$137 交易量
13%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$12 交易量
4%
22°C
$279 交易量
2%
23°C
$263 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$806结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$806结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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