Recent Météo-France and European model guidance under a persistent high-pressure ridge and ongoing heatwave show Paris experiencing strong daytime heating on August 8 with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 15–17°C. This warm-air advection and reduced cloud cover explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 14°C (55%) and 13–15°C, as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against typical August climatology of 14–16°C minima. Updated forecasts and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind will likely drive the final resolution as the overnight period approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日巴黎最低气温？
8月8日巴黎最低气温？
14°C 55%
13°C 20%
15°C 16%
16°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
11°C或更低
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
20%
14°C
55%
15°C
16%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
14°C 55%
13°C 20%
15°C 16%
16°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
11°C或更低
$104 交易量
1%
12°C
$103 交易量
4%
13°C
$445 交易量
20%
14°C
$918 交易量
55%
15°C
$720 交易量
16%
16°C
$246 交易量
7%
17°C
$279 交易量
5%
18°C
$298 交易量
<1%
19°C
$321 交易量
<1%
20°C
$67 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$77 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model guidance under a persistent high-pressure ridge and ongoing heatwave show Paris experiencing strong daytime heating on August 8 with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 15–17°C. This warm-air advection and reduced cloud cover explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 14°C (55%) and 13–15°C, as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against typical August climatology of 14–16°C minima. Updated forecasts and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind will likely drive the final resolution as the overnight period approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,578结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model guidance under a persistent high-pressure ridge and ongoing heatwave show Paris experiencing strong daytime heating on August 8 with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 15–17°C. This warm-air advection and reduced cloud cover explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 14°C (55%) and 13–15°C, as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against typical August climatology of 14–16°C minima. Updated forecasts and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind will likely drive the final resolution as the overnight period approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,578结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France and European model guidance under a persistent high-pressure ridge and ongoing heatwave show Paris experiencing strong daytime heating on August 8 with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 15–17°C. This warm-air advection and reduced cloud cover explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 14°C (55%) and 13–15°C, as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against typical August climatology of 14–16°C minima. Updated forecasts and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind will likely drive the final resolution as the overnight period approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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