Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Munich will reach a daily maximum of 32–34°C on August 5 under sunny conditions, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with 33°C emerging as the consensus mode. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around this range while assigning lower odds to 35°C or higher absent unexpected warming or clearer skies. Historical August baselines near 23–25°C underscore the current anomaly, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns that favor daytime heating without significant precipitation or advection of cooler air. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日慕尼黑气温最高?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 19%
35°C 10%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
19%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
10%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 19%
35°C 10%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
19%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
10%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Munich will reach a daily maximum of 32–34°C on August 5 under sunny conditions, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with 33°C emerging as the consensus mode. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around this range while assigning lower odds to 35°C or higher absent unexpected warming or clearer skies. Historical August baselines near 23–25°C underscore the current anomaly, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns that favor daytime heating without significant precipitation or advection of cooler air. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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