Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5 concentrated around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show typical subtropical summer conditions with daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer intervals allow brief warming. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model spread and potential for afternoon convection introduce enough uncertainty to keep 30°C and 32°C within striking distance of the leading 31°C outcome. Updated guidance two days before the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日香港气温最高?
31°C 38%
30°C 32%
32°C 16%
33°C 12%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
32%
31°C
38%
32°C
16%
33°C
12%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 32%
32°C 16%
33°C 12%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
32%
31°C
38%
32°C
16%
33°C
12%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5 concentrated around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show typical subtropical summer conditions with daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer intervals allow brief warming. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model spread and potential for afternoon convection introduce enough uncertainty to keep 30°C and 32°C within striking distance of the leading 31°C outcome. Updated guidance two days before the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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