Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently indicate a high near 97–101°F for Dallas on August 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent summer radiative heating under mostly clear skies, combined with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation chances, supports these values above the long-term August average of 96°F. Recent regional heat has shown slight easing after an intense period earlier in the week, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around this range and no strong frontal passages expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while assigning modest probability to minor forecast shifts from updated model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 5%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
44%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 5%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
44%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently indicate a high near 97–101°F for Dallas on August 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent summer radiative heating under mostly clear skies, combined with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation chances, supports these values above the long-term August average of 96°F. Recent regional heat has shown slight easing after an intense period earlier in the week, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around this range and no strong frontal passages expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while assigning modest probability to minor forecast shifts from updated model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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