National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 101°F in Dallas on August 5 under sunny, stable conditions typical of early August, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. This aligns with model consensus from NOAA guidance showing slight above-average warmth relative to the 96°F seasonal norm, though well below extreme heat records. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F, incorporates these official projections alongside historical analogs of mid-90s to low-100s peaks, while the smaller shares for 102-103°F or 98-99°F account for minor forecast variability in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 11%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 11%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 101°F in Dallas on August 5 under sunny, stable conditions typical of early August, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. This aligns with model consensus from NOAA guidance showing slight above-average warmth relative to the 96°F seasonal norm, though well below extreme heat records. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F, incorporates these official projections alongside historical analogs of mid-90s to low-100s peaks, while the smaller shares for 102-103°F or 98-99°F account for minor forecast variability in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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