Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Chongqing on August 4, suppressing peak temperatures to the 30–32°C range rather than the seasonal norm above 34°C. This pattern stems from a transient trough enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation in the city's river valley setting. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical summer humidity near 70% and limited diurnal range. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any last-minute shifts in steering flow. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日重庆气温最高？
8月4日重庆气温最高？
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
$143 交易量
4%
28°C
$84 交易量
4%
29°C
$81 交易量
10%
30°C
$166 交易量
24%
31°C
$196 交易量
34%
32°C
$92 交易量
23%
33°C
$175 交易量
6%
34°C
$133 交易量
4%
35°C
$707 交易量
1%
36°C
$52 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$220 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Chongqing on August 4, suppressing peak temperatures to the 30–32°C range rather than the seasonal norm above 34°C. This pattern stems from a transient trough enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation in the city's river valley setting. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical summer humidity near 70% and limited diurnal range. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any last-minute shifts in steering flow. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,049结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Chongqing on August 4, suppressing peak temperatures to the 30–32°C range rather than the seasonal norm above 34°C. This pattern stems from a transient trough enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation in the city's river valley setting. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical summer humidity near 70% and limited diurnal range. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any last-minute shifts in steering flow. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,049结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Chongqing on August 4, suppressing peak temperatures to the 30–32°C range rather than the seasonal norm above 34°C. This pattern stems from a transient trough enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation in the city's river valley setting. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical summer humidity near 70% and limited diurnal range. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any last-minute shifts in steering flow. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题