Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日旧金山气温最高？
8月3日旧金山气温最高？
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
69°F或以下
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88°F或更高
1%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
69°F或以下
$25 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$109 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$14 交易量
9%
74-75°F
$30 交易量
24%
76-77°F
$704 交易量
36%
78-79°F
$88 交易量
20%
80-81°F
$26 交易量
15%
82-83°F
$16 交易量
5%
84-85°F
$50 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$20 交易量
2%
88°F或更高
$111 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,194结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,194结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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