Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance on above-average August heat, alongside coastal station trends near 38–40°C, underpins the tight clustering around 39–40°C outcomes for Jeddah on August 6. Typical summer conditions feature intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and light northwesterly winds that limit sea-breeze cooling, while high humidity near the Red Sea can slightly suppress daytime maxima compared with inland sites. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with any shift in steering patterns or dust loading potentially altering the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 38°C when pricing the narrow spread between 39°C and 41°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日吉达的最高温度?
40°C 32%
39°C 23%
42°C或更高 17%
41°C 16%
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
14%
39°C
23%
40°C
32%
41°C
16%
42°C或更高
17%
40°C 32%
39°C 23%
42°C或更高 17%
41°C 16%
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
14%
39°C
23%
40°C
32%
41°C
16%
42°C或更高
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance on above-average August heat, alongside coastal station trends near 38–40°C, underpins the tight clustering around 39–40°C outcomes for Jeddah on August 6. Typical summer conditions feature intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and light northwesterly winds that limit sea-breeze cooling, while high humidity near the Red Sea can slightly suppress daytime maxima compared with inland sites. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with any shift in steering patterns or dust loading potentially altering the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 38°C when pricing the narrow spread between 39°C and 41°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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