Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日北京气温最高？
8月4日北京气温最高？
33°C 35%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
20%
33°C
35%
34°C
25%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C或以下
$54 交易量
<1%
29°C
$60 交易量
1%
30°C
$31 交易量
5%
31°C
$78 交易量
10%
32°C
$16 交易量
20%
33°C
$132 交易量
35%
34°C
$33 交易量
25%
35°C
$485 交易量
9%
36°C
$124 交易量
4%
37°C
$193 交易量
2%
38°C或更高
$33 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,240结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,240结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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