Current atmospheric conditions, including elevated humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon and light easterly winds under stable high pressure, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning overnight lows near 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 6. Official regional model consensus and recent observations align with this range, exceeding historical early-August minima around 25–26°C due to persistent warmth and urban heat retention. Trader-implied probabilities reflect high confidence in 28°C or 27°C outcomes, with limited model spread indicating low risk of a sudden maritime cool surge or heavy precipitation that could drop readings further before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日上海最低气温?
28°C 54%
27℃ 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27℃
25%
28°C
54%
29°C
17%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
28°C 54%
27℃ 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27℃
25%
28°C
54%
29°C
17%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current atmospheric conditions, including elevated humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon and light easterly winds under stable high pressure, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning overnight lows near 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 6. Official regional model consensus and recent observations align with this range, exceeding historical early-August minima around 25–26°C due to persistent warmth and urban heat retention. Trader-implied probabilities reflect high confidence in 28°C or 27°C outcomes, with limited model spread indicating low risk of a sudden maritime cool surge or heavy precipitation that could drop readings further before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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