Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日伦敦气温最高？
8月6日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 29%
23°C 28%
24°C 16%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
19°C or below
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
29%
23°C
28%
24°C
16%
25°C
7%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 29%
23°C 28%
24°C 16%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
19°C or below
$9 交易量
2%
20°C
$11 交易量
7%
21°C
$206 交易量
7%
22°C
$125 交易量
29%
23°C
$108 交易量
28%
24°C
$54 交易量
16%
25°C
$170 交易量
7%
26°C
$32 交易量
9%
27°C
$10 交易量
2%
28°C
$10 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$755结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$755结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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